As Impeachment Movement Builds, Pollsters Silence Impeachment Talk

This week, Bush's approval ratings plunged towards record lows in every major poll.

Also this week, local activists organized over 60 enthusiastic impeachment events and began collecting 1 million signatures for impeachment. Outgoing Rep. Cynthia McKinney introduced Articles of Impeachment in Congress, while Liz Holtzman and David Swanson debated impeachment with Hannity and Colmes.

So you might think pollsters would connect the dots and ask Americans whether they support Bush's impeachment.

But you would be wrong.

A majority of Americans have supported impeachment since the Ipsos poll of 10/11/05. Two weeks before the November election, Newsweek again found a 51%-44% majority for impeachment.

So why aren't pollsters including an impeachment question in every poll they take?

A year ago, pollsters claimed "no one" in Congress or the punditocracy was talking about impeachment. Since then, there has been lots of talk about impeachment both in Washington and in the media, and at least 6 excellent books. There was also a heated debate during the campaign when Republicans tried to use the impeachment issue as a reason for voters to reject Democrats. Despite the negative attacks, Democrats swept both chambers of Congress!

So what excuse do pollsters have now?

The obvious excuse is that Nancy Pelosi says impeachment is "off the table." But since when does one politician decide what can or cannot be discussed?

George Bush says pulling our troops out of Iraq is "off the table." He has delivered this message dozens of times since Rep. John Murtha first proposed a timetable for strategic redeployment. He repeated it after the Iraq Study Group echoed Murtha's proposal. Nevertheless, the question of removing troops from Iraq is now included in every poll on Iraq.

So if Bush can't veto the question of leaving Iraq, why can Pelosi veto the question of impeaching Bush?

Here is a list of pollsters, poll reporters and editors. Let's ask them (politely of course) why they refuse to poll on impeachment!

daniel.m.merkle@abc.com, newspolls@abc.com, ttompson@ap.org, wlester@ap.org, info@americanresearchgroup.com, evening@cbsnews.com, KAF@cbsnews.com, jeff.greenfield@cnn.com, wolf@cnn.com, bill.schneider@turner.com, info@edisonresearch.com, askfox@fox.com, comments@foxnews.com, rthomas@harrisinteractive.com, jgorman@opiniondynamics.com, david_wilson@gallup.com, darby_miller_steiger@gallup.com, david_moore@gallup.com, media_inquiries@gallup.com, rthomas@harrisinteractive.com, Info@harrisinteractive.com, timespoll@latimes.com, maristpoll@marist.edu, Mark.Murray@nbc.com, sheldon.gawiser@nbc.com, nightly@nbc.com, nytnews@nytimes.com, rich@nytimes.com, topurd@nytimes.com, adamnag@nytimes.com, letters@newsweek.com, Marcus.Mabry@newsweek.com, livingpolitics@aol.com, pcraighill@pewresearch.org, skeeter@pewresearch.org, info@people-press.org, pollinginstitute@quinnipiac.edu, Info@rasmussenreports.com, editor@surveyusa.com, spage@usatoday.com, rbenedetto@usatoday.com, editor@usatoday.com, wsjcontact@dowjones.com, morinr@washpost.com, balzd@washpost.com, ombudsman@washpost.com, abramowitz@washpost.com, newseditors@wsj.com, john.harwood@wsj.com

You can also use these forms:
DemocracyCorps: http://democracycorps.com/contact.html
Gallup: http://www.gallup.com/help/con

Here is a form letter you can personalize:

There has been serious discussion of impeachment ever since the Downing Street Memos revealed Bush fixed the "intelligence and facts around the policy" of invading Iraq. Simply put, Bush lied to start an illegal and disastrous war - a war Americans overwhelmingly oppose.

On October 11, 2005, an Ipsos poll found a 50%-44% majority for considering impeachment.
http://www.democrats.com/bush-impeachmen t-poll-1

One year later, a Newsweek poll found a 51%-44% majority for considering impeachment.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15357623/sit e/newsweek/page/2/

So why don't you include impeachment questions in your poll?

In 1998, nearly every poll asked about impeachment - even though only 26% of Americans supported it!
http://democrats.com/clinton-impeachment -polls

Why are you treating George Bush differently from Bill Clinton?

3. These MSM reporters cover political polls. Ask them why they have not covered the AfterDowningStreet impeachment polls.

wlester@ap.org, Bill.Schneider@cnn.com, sthomma@krwashington.com, John.Whitesides@reuters.com

4. These MSM reporters have covered impeachment polls and deserve a thank-you note.

froomkin@washingtonpost.com  

Please post any non-automated responses you get below!


Poll
Why won't pollsters ask impeachment questions?
Because pollsters want to manipulate public opinion, not measure it
Because pollsters only ask Republican/conservative questions, not Democratic/progressive questions
Because their corporate media bosses are desperate to keep Bush and Cheney in the White House
Because pollsters have their heads up their asses
All of the above

Votes: 8
Results : Vote Link : Polls

Display:


Impeachment is a dumb idea (none / 0)

Americans do not support impeachment.  Activists support impeachment.  Activists are 10 %.


by dataguy on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:30:04 PM EST

And, NO, 51 % DO NOT SUPPORT (3.00 / 1)

That 51 % is a misread of the poll.


by dataguy on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:30:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

28+23=51 (3.00 / 1)

28% Top Priority
23% Lower Priority
vs.
44% should not be done

by bob fertik on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:40:44 PM EST

Give It Up (3.00 / 2)

Fix Iraq.  Fix the economy.  Help us from losing pensions.  Get Americans Health Care.  Fix our cities.

Put people in poor neighborhoods to work, hopefully rebuilding.

Then maybe I will give a shit about impeachment.  And I am as activist as they come.  And I know it is a waste of time.  And never gonna happen.

So could we set up a chat room for the impeachment obsessed can just talk to themselves.


by rapallos on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:42:33 PM EST

Fix Consitutional checks and balances (n/t) (none / 0)


by pascal1947 on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 04:52:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Fix Iraq etc. (none / 0)

none of those things will happen while Bush and Cheney are in the White House - in fact all of those problems and thousands more will simply get worse.

in early 1974, no one thought Nixon would be impeached either.


by bob fertik on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:45:17 PM EST

Re: Fix Iraq etc. (none / 0)

And they would have been right too... Nixon was not really in any danger until the smoking gun tape came out and there was hard evidence Nixon obstructed justice.  Where is the Bush smoking gun?  Even though we all know he fixed the Florida election, there is no hard evidence to prove it.  We don't have hard evidence that he outed Plume.  We don't have hard evidence that he knowingly lied about Iraq and the torture aspect is an interpretation of law...

You focus too much on the short term and ignore the long term.


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 06:03:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Impeachment : The Children's Crusade (3.00 / 2)

You don't have any idea HOW it will happen.

You don't have any congressional support

You have no idea HOW LONG it will take.

You have NO HARD EVIDENCE

It looks like revenge to Americans.

It won't happen, regardless of hard you close your eyes and squint.


by dataguy on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:47:38 PM EST

that's exactly how it was (none / 0)

in 1974. i watched it unfold on TV when i was 17.

if you're too young to remember, spare me your sarcasm and read up on Watergate.

back then America celebrated Nixon's pre-impeachment resignation.


by bob fertik on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:54:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: that's exactly how it was (3.00 / 1)

I'm probably older than you.

I watched it too.

I'll tell you what the difference is and will be - the taping system.  Without that taping system, Nixon would have finished his term in office, and would NEVER have resigned.  

Impeachment supporters, UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES, will get anything like that from Bush.

Question to you: Who was on the Cheney Energy Task Force?  We couldn't get the list of attendees on this two-bit task force.  How do you expect to get evidence sufficient to convince 100 House DEMOCRATS and 50 Senators to vote "Aye" (I am assuming that 120 House Democrats would vote "Aye" today, but you need a majority).

You have nothing except bile, aggravation and annoyance.  Hearings would cost us the House and the Senate.  There is NO Howard Baker out there.


by dataguy on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:59:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I am older than you (3.00 / 1)

I am tired of all this crap and fighting.  I want progress.  You want revenge.  

Count me out.  i'm a progressive too.


by dataguy on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 04:00:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

There is no "Impeachment Movement" (3.00 / 1)

I see nothing on impeachment.  There are vocal proponents, but most people are not interested in this.  They want to solve problems.

If, after oversight hearings, something blatant emerges, you MIGHT see a "movement".  I doubt it, very strongly.


by dataguy on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 03:55:09 PM EST

There was no "Impeachment Movement" (none / 0)

in 1974 either.

We're starting one here:
http://impeachforchange.org

Everyone is welcome!


by bob fertik on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 04:46:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

None of the above (3.00 / 1)

Crimes should be investigated, and if that leads to impeachment, so be it.

But if it appears you've made that that your conclusion and then made the evidence fit the conclusion... that is not a politically wise move, even if it is just and right.  It will be seen as the same old same-old and will make Bush more popular as people side with the perceived underdog.  Look at how Clinton's popularity was affected by his impeachment.


by skintigh on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 05:14:16 PM EST

Re: As Impeachment Movement Builds, Pollsters Sile (none / 0)

Just about everything Bush does is impeachable. There are presently about 1000 solid reasons to impeach. #1: Stealing 2000 election. #2: Stealing 2004 election. #3: lying about WMD. #4: Letting prostitutes get white house press passes. Etc. Etc. Etc.

The House should impeach him once a day for the rest of his term. It would only take five minutes each time. Yes, I am very serious.

The impeachment of Bill Clinton did not affect his ratings much. But it doomed the campaign of Al Gore. These effects are nonlinear. Let's get a little bit sophisticated, folks, if that is not too radical a thing to ask!


by blues on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 06:39:15 PM EST

Re:lying about WMD (none / 0)

TomDispatch has three posts by former federal prosecutor Elizabeth de la Vega about this. She has written a mock indictment against Bush, Cheney, and a few others, arguing that they can be prosecuted using the same law that was used against the Enron criminals: the federal statute against conspiracy to commit fraud. It's a good read, and is excerpted from her new book which presents a fictional treatment of a grand jury deliberating whether Bush et al. should be indicted.

Why do I get the feeling the NY Times will not review it?


by Alexander on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 10:28:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh, BOB! You rock, man! (none / 0)

Thanks for the list of pollsters. I was on this meme earlier today on another site.

Yeah, really! Why NO IMPEACHMENT ISSUE polls? ESPECIALLY when the numbers have been over 40% in favor for more than a year? AND the last two polls indicated an upward trend for support AND showed majority support?

Don't listen to dataguy! He still hasn't answered my questions about what HE would rather do instead of impeachment.

HOW do you get legislation passed? And even if you do, HOW do you know that Bush won't sign the bill with great fanfare, and then gut the bill by FIAT?

HOW do you conduct oversight when Bush defies oversight laws and functions, EVEN WHEN his own party is in charge?

HOW do you exercise the power of the purse, with a president who will ILLEGALLY misdirect appropriated funds, even to carry on an undeclared war? Bush did that to start bombing Iraq, and conduct covert operations, and stage troops in preparation for an invasion, WITHOUT any authorization from Congress.

HOW do you conduct oversight with a vice president in office who flatly stated that he will REFUSE to comply with subpoenas from Congress?

dataguy has no answers. Did he challenge you to a wager? Did he tell you to relax and have a beer yet?

And how about the comments dataguy echoes from "the conventional wisdom?" Like "No Republican Senator will vote to convict!"

OH REALLY? Which Republican Senator has stated without reservation that impeachment is entirely out of the question? Which Republican Representative? Answer: NONE.

This talking point is not coming from elected officials. It's being circulated by Republican Party operatives, and dutifully repeated by the media and some on the left who can't foresee that Republican Senators will set aside party loyalty in the face of evidence placed right before them of serial and serious CRIMES committed.

It assumes that the will of the PUBLIC has nothing to do with this. It assumes that the necessity of upholding the constitution and the rule of law established in treaties has nothing to do with this.

The fundamental principles in treaty law that Bush has overthrown, EXIST because the United States has won that diplomatic debate, and countries all over the world have adopted OUR principles of law. It's an ESPECIALLY grave affront to the SENATE to violate treaty law!

dataguy, and other folks in the blogosphere, assume that the blue-trending constituencies of Republican Senators who just narrowly won re-election, and the constituencies of Republican Senators up for re-election in 2008, DON'T MATTER.

And what about the Republican base? Do you really think that, in the context of a national debate, that EVANGELICALS will declare themselves defenders of WAR CRIMES? It's absurd.

And what about Republican Senators running for president? Can they vote to acquit for WAR CRIMES and survive a single primary? Don't make me laugh!

You want names? OK, I've been watching these Senators for years, and I seriously doubt that the following Senators will vote to acquit if the evidence is being hashed out in the media day after day and public support for removal climbs to 70%, which IS VERY POSSIBLE given what the numbers are NOW, with pollsters being oddly silent and the evidence being ignored.

Sen Grassley
Sen Hagel
Sen Collins
Sen Snowe
Sen Warner
Sen Specter
Sen Sununu
Sen Alexander
Sen Smith
Sen McCain
Sen Brownback
Sen Graham

And that's just off the top of my head. I actually went through all of the Senators and guaged the likelihood of their support for conviction, IF there was an active war crimes case pending against the Bush Administration.

The decision on that will be within a month.

So, YEAH! Let's write to the pollsters!


by taraka das on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 07:22:56 PM EST

Re: Oh, BOB! You rock, man! (none / 0)

thanks :)

here's my list of Republican Senators who will vote for impeachment in 6 months when the House Managers present their case:

Stevens  R-AK
Sessions  R-AL
Allard  R-CO
Chambliss  R-GA
Craig  R-ID
Roberts  R-KS
McConnell  R-KY
Collins  R-ME
Coleman  R-MN
Cochran  R-MS
Dole  R-NC
Hagel  R-NE
Sununu  R-NH
Domenici  R-NM
Inhofe  R-OK
Smith  R-OR
Graham  R-SC
Alexander  R-TN
Cornyn  R-TX
Warner  R-VA
Enzi  R-WY

What do they have in common?

They are all running in 2008.

If George Bush was radioactive in 2006 when the country was still pretty evenly split on Iraq, imagine what he'll be like in 2008 after two MORE years in Iraq.

Republicans who want to survive in office will have to cross a few galaxies to get far enough away from Bush.

Voting for impeachment will be their only prayer for surviving the 08 election.


by bob fertik on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:24:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Up for re-election (none / 0)

Stevens  R-AK
Sessions  R-AL
Allard  R-CO
Chambliss  R-GA
Craig  R-ID
Roberts  R-KS
McConnell  R-KY
Collins  R-ME
Coleman  R-MN
Cochran  R-MS
Dole  R-NC
Hagel  R-NE
Sununu  R-NH
Domenici  R-NM
Inhofe  R-OK
Smith  R-OR
Graham  R-SC
Alexander  R-TN
Cornyn  R-TX
Warner  R-VA
Enzi  R-WY

I don't agree that these guys will vote to convict:

Stevens  R-AK
Sessions  R-AL
Roberts  R-KS
McConnell  R-KY
Inhofe  R-OK
Cornyn  R-TX
Cochran  R-MS

They are all SERIOUS Kool-aid drinkers. I have my doubts about some of the others, too, but we still get to conviction based on the ones that are left, and others who are in blue-trending states or running for president.

If there is a war crimes indictment in Germany, AND a public information campaign that pre-empts the rightwing noise machine, my calculations say 70-75 Senators voting to convict.

And NOT months and years from now, but SOON.


by taraka das on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:39:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Up for Re-election in RED STATES (none / 0)

You must be a total clueless political idiot.  

You see, in red states, they vote republican.  Thus, voting to NOT IMPEACH a REPUBLICAN president is a GOOD THING in a red state.  

This is POLITICS 101, or maybe 001.  

Impeachment will not happen.  

If you disagree with my assessment, let's wager.  If you don't wager, you are not a man.  You are just a child.


by dataguy on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 01:19:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I live in "red state," fool! (none / 0)

One that just elected three more Democrats to the Congress.

You must be ENTIRELY clueless if you think conservatives will support acquitting a war criminal.

And I laugh at your pathetic insistence that people who don't gamble aren't adults.

And AGAIN, you fail to make an argument when confronted with the IMPOSSIBILITY of governing with a president who thinks he is an emperor.


by taraka das on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 08:22:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You are an idiot (none / 0)

That's it.  Plain and simple.  You are a moron.

Conservatives will support Bush.

Since you are a total boob, I'll explain it.  Politices is like two gangs.  There is the Republican Gang, and the Democratic Gang.  The Members of the Republican Gang will support their gang boss.

Man, you are as thick as a brick.


by dataguy on Sun Dec 17, 2006 at 01:10:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The Kool-Aid Drinkers (none / 0)

I think at least half of the Kool-Aid drinkers who vote to acquit will be toast next time they are up for re-election.

They won't get away from accountability for such a vote just because Bush and Cheney are removed.

One of the more important by-products of removing Bush and Cheney will be that Gonzales will go down, too, and then the indictments of the racketeers in the Republican House Caucus will start flowing and then those crooks will be expelled in twos and threes over the next year or so.


by taraka das on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:52:18 PM EST

Wow (none / 0)

One of the more important by-products of removing Bush and Cheney will be that Gonzales will go down, too, and then the indictments of the racketeers in the Republican House Caucus will start flowing and then those crooks will be expelled in twos and threes over the next year or so

You are either totally clueless or 12.  This is the most amazingly naive statement I have read in some time.

Impeachment will not happen.


by dataguy on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 12:53:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Pollsters (none / 0)

Express your opinions DayLightForum.org


Gregory Olinyk The Future is Bright! http://www.daylightforum.org
by GregO73 on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 12:48:34 AM EST

Let's wager (none / 0)

I think that impeachment is idiotic, and that impeachment supporters have their heads up their anuses.

But, rather than meaningless insults, I am willing to be gentlemanly.  Let's wager.

I will bet $500 that 1) the House will not vote to impeach Bush AND 2) the Senate will not vote in either way.


by dataguy on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 12:56:09 AM EST

Re: As Impeachment Movement Builds, Pollsters Sile (none / 0)

I don't think that there is any way that the media and polling organizations can poll about impeachment right now without it coming off as some sort of push polling.

I would probably wait until congressional investigations start and turn up some facts before polling about impeachment.  In the meantime, activists who want impeachment can best realize their goal by working to ensure that meaningful oversight investigations take place.


Things You Don't Talk About in Polite Company: Religion, Politics, the Occasional Intersection of Both
by Anthony de Jesus on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 04:32:10 AM EST

Facts would help (none / 0)

Right now, we have NO FACTS justifying impeachment.  We have speculation, belief, concern, ideas about impeachable offenses.  

We have NO SMOKING GUN.  NOT A SINGLE ONE>


by dataguy on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 01:37:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Facts would help (none / 0)

There were no facts justifying the Iraq War. Did that stop it? It's really not true that "facts" "justify" things. "Facts" are nothing more than glorified assumptions. There are 1000 really fine good reasons to impeach Bush. The house should spend five minutes each day using one. This is like arguing whether O.J. did it. Truth is in the eye of the beholder. There is a "reality" out there, but human beings never get to see more than its shadow.

It's like in mathematical logic. First order logic is great for the fact that everything expressed in it is provable. But it cannot really even account for the existence of the number system. Second order logic accounts for everything in mathematics, but virtually all of it is unprovable in any strong sense. For instance, no one can say for sure that there is not some huge number that will function as a singularity, causing algebra to crash. Well, there is one we know of: Try dividing by zero.

So let's not split hairs about whether that giant bus will hit us or not. It's still reckless driving, so give the SOB a ticket, already.


by blues on Sun Dec 17, 2006 at 11:32:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: As Impeachment Movement (none / 0)

Boy talk about manipulating data to try and prove your point.  

Other parts of a potential Democratic agenda receive less support, especially calls to impeach Bush: 47 percent of Democrats say that should be a "top priority," but only 28 percent of all Americans say it should be, 23 percent say it should be a lower priority and nearly half, 44 percent, say it should not be done. (Five percent of Republicans say it should be a top priority and 15 percent of Republicans say it should be a lower priority; 78 percent oppose impeachment.


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 05:57:15 PM EST

Re: As Impeachment Movement Builds, Pollsters Sile (none / 0)

Leaving aside whether impeachment would be a good idea (which it wouldn't...), you have no idea of how polling works.  Pollsters, by themselves, decide nothing, silence nothing, influence nothing.  Pollsters do the polls they are commissioned to do.

If you want to see a poll on impeachment, commission one yourself.  There are any number of polling firms that will do any poll you pay them to do.  In fact, there were a couple of MYDD-speared polls in 2006.  I'm sure that if you ask around here there will be people who will hook you up with the same company.


by Jay on Sun Dec 17, 2006 at 06:00:32 AM EST

Re: As Impeachment Movement Builds, Pollsters Sile (none / 0)

This is somewhat of a good point. It shows, however, only that the only polls that get taken are commissioned by moneyed patrons. So perhaps it says more about the nature of our moneyed patrons than about the pollsters. Perhaps. And these folks seem to think it's just not proper to impeach our Commander in Thief. If they didn't like him, they would not be commissioning polls. They would be plotting a JFK option.


by blues on Sun Dec 17, 2006 at 11:48:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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